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Futurepossibilitiesof NatRefsin H V A CMenno van der Hoffnecessity

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Future possibilities of NatRefs in H V A C Menno van der Hoff

necessity

(3)

We have only ONE Earth

With a worldwide PROBLEM !

e

(4)
(5)

We have learned why…

It’s called:

The CO 2

disease

(6)

Sure, you all know the largest source of CO 2 emission?

(7)

H V A C for Buildings !!!

They use OIL, Gas @ Coal … 33% of total CO

2

emission In addition, HVAC sector is another 7.8% , TOTAL > 40 %

CO

2

Emission

Buildings Miscell. Agriculture F Gases Industry Waste Transport

(8)

Start with low hanging fruit!

Reduce CO 2 emissions for

HVAC in buildings

(9)

Stop fossil fuel

Solar & Wind Zero CO 2

Task for the

Heat Pump without HFC’s

CO 2 emission

(10)

Where we are going …….

A L L W I T H F – g a s ?

(11)

The impact of Buildings and HVAC&R on climate change

7.8 % of global GHG emissions

37% direct GWP emissions

63% indirect GWP emissions 4.14

GtCO

2

e HVAC&R

Building H & C 33 % of global GHG emissions

17.5 GtCO

2

e

100 % direct

GWP emissions

(12)

COOLING DEMAND IS TO GROW ! So how then reduce CO

2

eq?

Source UNEP % in CO2eq Globally, need for AC increases 3x by 2050! <= rising temperatures + growing middle class.

UNEP estimates stock will be over $1.5billion by 2030, 20% of household energy

The “Blue” refrigeration sector is reducing GWP values, charge, goes to natural refrigerants or ‘near to zero’ GWP gas. With bans, incentives, and trends in the world.

The “Orange” HVAC sector is strongly on R22, R407C, R410A, R32. Splits and VRF are largest in size and booming sales. No plans for a ‘near to zero’ GWP alternative in sight!

End Users will find out, stop accepting this and change their public policy !

(13)

The F-gas contradiction !

Sales of HVAC Heat pumps

Running on F gas: Booming ! Availability of F gas for future Shortage is to come for sure

FACT: 99 % of all HVAC units operate with F Gas refrigerants

It is no rocket science this is likely running into a P R O B L E M !

(14)

PROFESSIONAL end users have adopted natural refrigerant policy

Professional Users DID find out, stopped use of F - gas , and changed their policy !

(15)

HVAC: Do we want this?

(16)

Nat Refs Alternatives are plenty out there

Enough choice…. Finally J

(17)

RESIDENTIAL AC

(prodiminantly Asia)

China:

share 85%, 100 million units / year

20 RAC lines ready for R290: potential6 mio units/yr Major players: Midea, Gree, Haier, TCL

Midea -

received Blue Angel certification from German government

India:

Split AC represents 80% of total AC units

±300,000 R290 units installed

inverter R290 top efficiency Leader: Godrej

PORTABLE AC : Europe is moving towards R290 in 2020

• EU F-Gas bans HFCs with GWP > 150 in portable AC as of 2020

• Delonghi, Midea, TCL, Blaupunkt, Kaysun, Gree, Olimpia Splendid

SPLIT HC MARKET = reluctant Active world policy support, update of safety regulations, update of EN standards industry commitment and training are underway to unlock R290 RAC

(18)

In recent years ….

Number of brands on #GoNatrefs has exploded Over 100 Brands are now available worldwide

C O M M E R C I A L H V A C

(19)
(20)

ALSO plenty CO

2

and NH

3

CHILLERS / H P today available

Product availability is solved !

(21)

Are you still waiting for the final trigger to explode sales of NatRefs H V A C ?

Today’s LESSONS for Consultants & HVAC END USERS :

1. F-gas free solutions is the only way forward. There is plenty of choice today

2. The growth of F-gas driven heat pumps is in conflict to the future HFC availability.

3. NatRefs are final and definitive solution for our generations to come ! 4. World’s global warming problem is driven by HVAC for buildings

5. NatRefs and Heat Pumps is the lowest hanging fruit way to carbon neutral.

(22)

Remember this story. Make it your story too...

Pass it on! We need each other. Our future is ours.

(23)

Einde / Muziek

Thank you

Menno van der Hoff

(24)

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