• Ingen resultater fundet

The challenge regarding supply and demand for loans and access to volume of data can be minimized faster, if P2P platforms expand their offering of crowdfunding from crowdlending to equity crowdfunding and personal loans. By offering equity-crowdfunding, platforms can attract start-ups that will be fully benefited by this form of financing, as they can test the market interest of their project before any real investment is done. Also, because lenders invest individually a smaller amount, they purchase smaller shares and rights, and are less demanding than venture capitalists. This means, that the company’s shareholders can hold the majority of the shares, and therefore, keep control over the company.

Additionally, by offering personal loans, platforms can tap into the market of quick loans, and attract borrowers by offering cheaper credit, while attracting lender with the promise of higher interest rates.

Personal loans can give an excellent source of data for SME financing, because in SMEs, the person of the owner or key manager merges with the person of the company, so understanding the person of the owner/manager, can give excellent indications of whether a loan will default.

Finally, volume can be created through a cross-border European platform, that would increase the scope of the platform, while granting regulatory tranquility, because there is a regulation for crowdfunding on the making, which will render all legislation within the EU area compatible.

73 https://ec.europa.eu/info/tender/identifying-market-and-regulatory-obstacles-cross-border-development-crowdfunding-eu_en

9

Bibliography

1. Akerlof, G. A., 1970. The market for "lemons": quality uncertainty and the market mechanism. The quaterly journal of Economics, Volume. 84, n.° 4, August, pp. 488-500.

2. Altman, E., Sabato, G. & Wilson, N., 2010. The value of non-financial information in small and medium-sized enterprise risk management. The Journal of Credit Risk, Volume 6, n.° 2, pp. 1-33.

3. Andersen, I, 2013. Den skinbarlige virkelighed - vidensproduktion i samfundsvidenskaberne. 5. udgave:

Samfundslitteratur.

4. Bebczuk, R. N., 2003. Asymmetric information in financial markets: introduction and applications.

Cambridge University Press, UK and US.

5. Berger, A. N., Cowan, A. M. & Frame, S., 2011. The surprising use of credit scoring in small business lending by community banks and the attendant effects of credit availability, risk and profitability. Journal of Financial Services Research, Volume 39, issue 1-2, pp. 1-17.

6. Bester, H., 1985. Screening vs. Rationing in Credit Markets with Imperfect Information. The American Economic Review, Volume 75, n.° 4, pp. 850-855.

7. Caire, D. & Kossmann, R., 2003. Credit Scoring: Is it right for your bank. Material prepared for Bannock Consulting on a Technical Assistance engagement funded by the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development and the EU.

8. Ciampi, F. & Gordini, N., 2013. Small enterprise default prediction modelling through artificial neural networks: An empirical analysis of Italian small enterprises. Journal of Small Business Management, Volume 51, issue 1, pp. 23-45.

9. Duan, H., Han, X. & Yang, H., 2009. An analysis of causes for SMEs Financing Difficulty.

Internation Journal of Business and Management, Volume 4, n.° 6, pp. 1-3.

10. Earley, C. E., 2015. Data analytics in auditing: Opportunities and challenges. Business Horizons - Volume 58, issue 5, pp. 493-500.

11. Fedders, J., Steffensen, H. & Lassen, K. T., 2017. Årsrapport efter internationale regnskabsstandarder - fra dansk praksis til IFRS. 5. udgave: Karnov Group.

12. Feldman, R. J., 1997. Small business loans, small banks and big change in technology called credit scoring.

The region, September, September, pp. 19-24.

13. Fenwick, M., McCahery, J. A. & Vermeulen, E. P. M., 2017. Fintech and the Financing of Entrepreneurs: From Crowdfunding to Marketplace Lending. ECGI Working Paper Series in Law, September, pp. 2-53.

14. Fraunhofer, M. K., 2009. Online Peer-to-Peer lending: A Lender's perspective. SSRN Electronich Journal, July, pp. 1-5.

15. Galloway, I., 2009/2010. Peer-to-peer lending and Comunity Development Finance. Community Investments, Volume 21, Issue 3, Winter, Volume 21, issue 3, pp. 18-39.

16. Ghatak, M. & Guinnane, T. W., 1999. The economics of lending with joint liability: theory and practice.

s.l., Journal of Developement Economics, pp. 195-228.

17. Hsieh, N. C., 2004. An integrated data mining and behavioral scoring model for analyzing bank customer.

Expert Systems with Applications, Volume 27, issue 4, November, pp. 623-633.

18. Hurley, M. & Adebayo, J., 2017. Credit Scoring in the Era of Big Data. Yale Journal of Law and Technology, Volume 18, issue 1, pp. 3 -70.

19. Janda, K., 2006. Lender and borrower as principal and agent. IES Working paper 24 - IES FSV.

20. Kwok, S. H., Lang, K. R. & Tam, K. Y., 2010. Peer-to-peer Tecnology Business and Service models:

Risk and Opportunities. Electronic Markets Vol.12, No. 3, pp. 1-9.

21. Maier, E., 2016. Supply and demand on crowdlending platforms: connecting small and medium-sized enterprise borrowers and consumer investors. Journal of Retailing and Consumer Service, Volume 33, pp. 141-153.

22. Mester, L. J., 1997. What is the point of credit scoring? Business Review, 3 September/October , pp.

3-16.

23. Mills, K. G. & McCarthy, B., 2014. The state of small business lending: credit access during the recovery and how technology may change the game. Working paper 15-004.

24. OECD, 2015. New Approaches to SME and Entrepreneurship Financing: Broadening the Range of Instruments, s.l.: OECD.

25. Parker, G. R., 2005. Reputational capital, Opportunism, and self-policing in legislatures. Public Choice, Volumw 122, n.° 3/4, March, pp. 333-354.

26. Pedro, J. S., Proserpio, D. & Oliver, N., MobiScore: Towards universal credit scoring from Mobile Phone Data. Conference Paper, June pp.1-12.

27. Pokorná, M. & Sponer, M., 2016. Social lending and its risks. Procedia - Social and Behavioural Science, Volume 220, pp. 330-337.

28. Serrano-Cinca, C., Gutierrez-Nietto, B. & Lopes-Palacios, L., 2015. Determinants of Default in P2P lending. PLoS ONE, October, pp. 1-22.

29. Spence, M., 1973. Job market signaling. The quarterly Journal of Economics, Volume 83, issue 3, August, pp. 355-374.

30. Stiglitz, J. & Weiss, A., 1981. Credit rationing in markedt with imperfect information. The American economic review, Volume 71, nr° 3, pp. 393-410.

31. Tan, T. & Phan, T., 2016. Social media-driven credit scoring: the predictive value of social structures, SSRN Electronic Journal, January, pp. 1-11.

32. Volk, M., 2012. Estimating probability of default and comparing it to credit rating classifications by banks.

Economic Business Review, Volume 14, nr.° 4, pp. 299 - 320.

33. Yang, Z., Zhang, Y. & Guo, B. D. Y., 2018. DeepCredit: Exploiting user clickstream for loan risk prediction in P2P Lending. Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI) Publication.

34. Zhang, Y., Jia H., Diao, Y., Hai, M. & Haifeng, L., 2016. Research on credit scoring by fusing social media information in online peer-to-peer lending. Procedia Computer Science, Volume 91, pp. 168-174.

10

11 Appendix 1: Big Data Scoring

Summary of interview with Mr. Erki Kert, CEO of Big Data Scoring made via Skype on the 28th of February 2019.

Big Data Scoring is a cloud-based credit scoring company located in UK with offices in the USA, Chile, Indonesia, Finland and Poland. They provide credit scoring for banks, telecoms and consumer lenders.

Their purpose is not only to improve in-house credit scoring, but also help those individual without credit like immigrants and young people to acquire loans. Their solution is integrated via an API to the lenders platform, so the credit scoring is done in-house, combining alternative data to the lenders internal data.

Their solution improves the in-house scoring between 5 to 15% as soon as installed and tested. After the solution is used for 3 to 6 months, the level of accuracy is improved to up to 30%.

Big Data Scoring collects vast amount data from multiple sources: web search results, behaviour tracking (clickstream), device technical details, mobile app data. Around 5.000 data points are collected from each borrower.

Some of the parameters they look for are:

• Neighbourhood of the applicant and geodata

o Information about distance between parks, hospitals, number of unemployed in the area among many other variables are collected

• The device and/or system used by the applicant

o How was the access done? Mobile or home computer, IOS or Android, etc.

• The applicant’s IP address

o Are you accessing from where you listed as your address, who is the internet provider.

• The applicant’s E-mail address

o E-mail provider, Has this e-mail been involved in fraud, etc.

• Information publicly available over the internet about the applicant o Google, Linkedin, etc

The credit scoring is all done automatically and it does not take more than a few seconds to be made.