• Ingen resultater fundet

7. Collision frequency during operation

7.5. Collision consequences

The consequence of a collision with the wind farm can lead to a variety of outcomes. Both the turbines and the vessel involved in a collision could be damaged and furthermore personal injuries can occur if a vessel is damaged or capsizes. Environmental damage could arise if bunker oil is released or if a chemical or oil taker has a spill from the storage tanks. The outcome of a collision is dependent on a variety of parameters. Some of these are listed below:

Impact energy

The outcome of a collision is dependent on the speed of the vessel and the mass of the vessel. A large vessel would most likely damage the turbine significantly whereas a fish-ing vessel or minor recreational vessel could impact the turbine without damagfish-ing the turbine itself. Damage could however occur to the vessels in the event of an impact;

HR3-TR-036 v3 36 / 64 however the requirement for a collision-friendly design of the foundation does limit the probability of this.

The impact angle of a collision with a turbine can also influence the consequences. A sliding collision with the turbine will make a vessel glide of the turbine with a minimum of energy transferred to the structure, whereas a direct hit would maximise the energy trans-ferred to the structure, and therefore have a significant higher probability of severe con-sequences such as hull damage. The impact zone is also of relevance for the collision consequences. In a sideways collision, i.e. a drifting vessel, the energy can be trans-ferred to the structure over a significant height but with a direct collision with the bow the energy most likely would be transferred over a smaller area, i.e. the bow or bulb of the vessel. This could result in different failure modes both for the turbine and the vessel. The foundation design and the shape of the impacting vessel do all influence the type of fail-ure. The required collision-friendly design of the foundations does limit the probability of damaging the vessel in the event of an impact.

Vessel type/characteristics

In the case of a collision the environmental consequences is dependent on the size of spills from the vessel. All vessels can in the event of a collision have a spill of the bunker oil carried. Some vessels have bunker protection and are therefore less likely to have these spills. More severe environmental consequences could occur in the event of a large chemical or oil tanker colliding with the park. The various chemical and oil products car-ried on these vessels can be leaked in the event of a collision damaging the tanks. The probability of having a breach of the tanks on an oil carrier or chemical tanker is influ-enced by the design of the vessel. The share of double hull tankers have over the last decades increased and today nearly all tankers have a double hull. This has a positive effect on the probability of having a leakage in the event of a collision with a tanker.

7.5.1 Overview of size of vessels

The traffic on the routes in the area of Horns Rev 3 varies significantly. Some routes are only used by smaller fishing vessels and other routes are used by large merchant ves-sels. An overview of the distribution of the vessel sizes on the various routes can be found in Table 6-3

HR3-TR-036 v3 37 / 64 Table 7-3 Overview of the size class of the vessels on the routes near Horns Rev 3.Typically fishing vessels

and other smaller vessels are not included in the IHS Fairplay database. The overview is based on the vessels that can be identified and fishing vessels and other smaller vessels in the area are therefore not included. Routes where no vessel size distributions are given is only used by these smaller vessels.

It is seen that the largest vessels are present on route 2 and 3 where ships over 80000 DWT are found. Route 1 that contributes with a collision frequency comparable to route 2, comprise significant smaller vessels, with a maximum below 20000 DWT. This is also the case for route 13 where the largest vessel is under 5000 DWT. The larger vessels are typically taking the north/south routes 2 and 3 and if going to Esbjerg route 7 and 8 far away from the park is used.

7.5.2 Fraction of chemical and oil tankers

The environmental consequence in the event of a collision depends on the type of vessel involved. The most severe environmental consequences could arise if an oil tanker or chemical tanker collides with a turbine and this collision causes a leak in the storage tanks on the vessel. The fraction of the merchant vessels on the routes that are catego-rised as oil or chemical tankers is given in Table 6-4

Route

number < 1000 1000 - 3000 3000 - 5000 5000 - 10000 10000 - 20000 20000 - 40000 40000 - 80000 > 80000

1 7% 50% 11% 31% 1% 0% 0% 0%

HR3-TR-036 v3 38 / 64 Table 7-4 Fraction of merchant vessels categorised as chemical or oil tankers

The significant contributors to the collision frequency come from route 1 and 2. However as route 2 have approximately 9 times as many merchant vessels and the larger fraction of oil and chemical tankers the consequences of a collision from this route is deemed more critical from an environmental point of view than the contribution from route 1. It should be notes that 90% of the merchant vessels on route 2 are not oil or chemical car-riers and that the oil related environmental consequences from these therefore primarily relate to spill of bunker oil.

Route 7 and 8 with a relative large share of oil and chemical tankers are located far away and therefore does not give any significant risk contribution even though the conse-quences would be higher.

7.5.3 Summary of collision consequences

Impacts from route 2 will likely have the highest consequence as this route has the high-est fraction of large vessels. Besides the size of the vessels on route 2 the fraction of oil and chemical tankers is larger than other significant routes and this could give rise to more significant environmental consequences in the event of a collision.

The typical size of vessels on route 1 is significantly smaller than on route 2 and further-more the amount of tankers on route 1 is limited. Smaller vessels and a smaller fraction of tankers gives lower consequences for route 1 compared with route 2. Route 13 that has the third highest collision frequency has even smaller vessels and fewer tankers.